Analytical Report NEI: National Employment Index – the Key Indicator of Poland's Labour Market Health

The National Employment Index (NEI) is a new, integrated indicator of Poland's labour market health that combines signals from the real economy, employment, and business sentiment into a single, easy-to-read measure. An NEI value of 50 points in Q3 2025 shows the economy at a turning point: on one hand, the labour market remains an employer's market — with rising unemployment and weakening demand for workers; on the other hand, GDP growth, a strong September rebound in sales, exports and industrial output, along with falling inflation, are laying the groundwork for a future employment recovery.

Gremi Personal's analytical centre, drawing on the NEI, identifies where stabilisation is genuinely beginning and where companies should prepare for further turbulence — both in terms of sector dynamics and cost pressures.

The report covers, among other things:

– A detailed breakdown of the NEI value and its interpretation for the labour market and the broader economy.

– The structure of the NEI: four sub-indices (Labour Availability, Labour Costs, Business Sentiment, Economic Volatility) and 15 component indices.

– An analysis of why Poland is entering an "employer's market" phase.

– The impact of labour law changes since June 2025 on job vacancy numbers, unemployment registration and the recruitment of foreign workers.

– An assessment of real labour costs.

– Conclusions from business sentiment research.

The NEI report was prepared on the basis of data from the Central Statistical Office (GUS), ZUS, the National Bank of Poland, the Bank for International Settlements, the Ministry of Family, Labour and Social Policy, the Public Employment Services, leading recruitment platforms, and Gremi Personal's own business survey "HR and Economy: Voice of the Market" (over 500 respondents).

The aim of this report is to provide businesses and public institutions with a reliable compass, so that staffing, investment and cost decisions are made on the basis of hard data rather than intuition.

Download the full NEI report and discover which labour market signals could give you a competitive edge in 2026.

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